https://understandingwar.org/research/Geopolitics2026-11-12T00:58:49.572998+00:00variousFeedseekhttps://feeds-proxy.travny.workers.dev/favicon?domain=understandingwar.org&sz=64https://feeds-proxy.travny.workers.dev/favicon?domain=understandingwar.org&sz=256https://feeds-proxy.travny.workers.dev/favicon?domain=understandingwar.org&sz=256https://feeds-proxy.travny.workers.dev/favicon?domain=understandingwar.org&sz=64Combined think-tank feed: ISW, RUSI, CSIS, and the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.tag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/106c72b657f98944Trust but Verify: Implementing Frontier AI Policy in California and Beyond2026-11-12T12:00:00+00:00The choices California makes while implementing its frontier AI law has ramifications for AI governance in the United States and around the world.2026-11-12T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/6dbab7f13977c606Promises Made, Promises Unmet: The NPP’s Struggle to Reform Sri Lanka2026-11-12T12:00:00+00:00Does the NPP have the will or vision to create a new social contract for Sri Lanka?2026-11-12T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/61df44f5e026a990Korean Peninsula Update, November 11, 20262026-11-11T00:00:00+00:00Korean Peninsula Update, November 11, 20262026-11-11T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/23c7be0c8855db5fWilliam Daley and Paul Ryan Named Chair and Vice Chair of the CSIS Board of Trustees2026-11-11T00:00:00+00:00The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) today announced the appointment of William Daley, former White House chief of staff and U.S. secretary of commerce, as chair of its board of trustees. Paul Ryan, former speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives, has been appointed vice chair.2026-11-11T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/37622588546d0fbaEscaping an Escalatory Spiral: Can Europe Avoid a War With Russia?2026-11-10T12:00:00+00:00Nobody in the Kremlin fancies a fight with the whole European continent. Instead, the Russian leadership would be likely to opt for a short, targeted strike.2026-11-10T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/e2956048f0027728No, A Democratic Congress Won’t Save Europe2026-11-10T12:00:00+00:00A blue wave has swept over the U.S. midterms, with Democrats regaining control of both houses of Congress. But Europeans hoping for a return to business as usual should think again.2026-11-10T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/620bd3f134e3f6b2How Are Russian Banks Posting Record Profits Amid Economic Stagnation?2026-11-10T12:00:00+00:00Russia’s banking sector is sinking ever deeper into a crisis that the authorities are simply managing rather than trying to fix. 2026-11-10T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/6dc64a99d0143f31China & Taiwan Update, November 10, 20262026-11-10T00:00:00+00:00China & Taiwan Update, November 10, 20262026-11-10T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/d1ae8f803dcd88adRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 10, 20262026-11-10T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 10, 20262026-11-10T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/5a0f72853a885c13Iran Update, November 10, 20262026-11-10T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, November 10, 20262026-11-10T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/56b04a98472017b8One Year After Busan: Has China Kept Its Rare Earth Promises?2026-11-10T00:00:00+00:00One year after Busan, China’s rare earth exports to the United States remain sharply below pre-restriction levels, even as global shipments hold steady. Beijing’s continued control over rare earth supplies raises the stakes for Trump-Xi meetings in Shenzhen and Miami.2026-11-10T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/7ef8644252302631The Double-Edged Sword: AI in Cybersecurity Offense and Defence2026-11-10T00:00:00+00:00How are AI tools used by cyber attackers and defensive security teams?2026-11-10T00:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/7d494d60edba422cWhy an ‘Article 5-Style Guarantee’ for Ukraine Makes Little Sense2026-11-10T00:00:00+00:00Ukraine should ditch the idea and focus on getting its partners to commit to a structured programme of long-term support for its armed forces.2026-11-10T00:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/e426b5d22f015250Serbia Still Has a Steep Hill to Climb2026-11-09T12:00:00+00:00After two years of mass protests, Serbia’s student-led movement has ousted Aleksandar Vučić’s. Now the Student List must prove it can deliver on its promises.2026-11-09T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/0ecd79d7667c4d42The Regulatory Wild West of Starlink’s Global Expansion2026-11-09T12:00:00+00:00Starlink has provided critical digital infrastructure for the Ukrainian army in its war against Russia. But the demonstrated ability of Elon Musk to switch off the service at his whim has raised new questions about private control over space-based telecommunications.2026-11-09T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/7c4ac7fd0521094bCosmic Disorder: The Rise of Geopolitical Disorder and the Challenge to Global Space Governance2026-11-09T12:00:00+00:00A look at how the deepening Sino-American rivalry is shaping the governance of outer space and how the rise of New Space and the erosion of the liberal international order challenge existing governance arrangements.2026-11-09T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/b26e5bd2bc19c307Iran Update, November 9, 20262026-11-09T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, November 9, 20262026-11-09T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/fd7e9e18f7cc5d85Mind the Gap: Keeping Export Compliance Within Reach as BIS Focuses on Enforcement2026-11-09T00:00:00+00:00The Department of Commerce is emphasizing enforcement of export controls and engaging less with industry. CSIS and UGA experts lay out four steps to keep the resulting compliance burden manageable.2026-11-09T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/868789650a02f7b7Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 9, 20262026-11-09T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 9, 20262026-11-09T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/4f54a72bdcea8e3eContested Skies: What a Recent Military Operation with Mexico Reveals About the Homeland Drone Fight2026-11-09T00:00:00+00:00A novel operation along the southwest border to counter cartel drones demonstrated homeland drone defense that centers the U.S. military in a law enforcement role. This analysis examines Operation High Eagle and its implications for U.S. ability to defend against drones.2026-11-09T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/bb66a96a8dfa5338CSIS Press Briefing: Previewing President Trump's Trip to Asia2026-11-09T00:00:00+00:00The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) hosted a virtual press briefing to preview President Trump's upcoming Asia trip (November 16-19).2026-11-09T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/d4b8be648b30cc53Trilateral “Denuclearization”: False Promises or Way Forward?2026-11-09T00:00:00+00:00The Trump administration wants denuclearization on the agenda for potential talks with Putin and Xi at APEC. Washington should use the talks to lay the groundwork for trilateral arms control, promote transparency, and out-compete Beijing and Moscow in nuclear diplomacy.2026-11-09T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/6410f6b181f9d526Israel’s Foreign Funding Inquiry is Not Evidence of a Stolen Election2026-11-09T00:00:00+00:00The incumbent appears to be using a national security foreign-funding inquiry to discredit 19 Arab-held seats and perhaps disrupt formation of a replacement government.2026-11-09T00:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/b089b9dc0c37ef2bRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 8, 20262026-11-08T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 8, 20262026-11-08T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/b8bc013d695af519Iran Update, November 8, 20262026-11-08T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, November 8, 20262026-11-08T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/b84bc7ee2ce98593Iran Update, November 7, 20262026-11-07T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, November 7, 20262026-11-07T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/3aa607d75716b8e8Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 7, 20262026-11-07T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 7, 20262026-11-07T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/efbeb810d6f72874After the Midterm Rout, Can Trump Change Course Without Giving Up Tariffs?2026-11-06T17:44:13.548000+00:00Even if the administration maintains its broader trade policy, it should use tariffs more strategically and work with U.S. partners, not against them.2026-11-06T17:44:13.548000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/ed4eeb0d224bebb6By Waging War on Its Sovereignty, Putin Has United Ukraine2026-11-06T12:00:00+00:00The war does threaten Putin’s existence. That is why he does not negotiate. 2026-11-06T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/be0142d4f692e2efRussian Occupation Update, November 6, 20262026-11-06T00:00:00+00:00Russian Occupation Update, November 6, 20262026-11-06T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/c9b07d5fd74a62f8China & Taiwan Update, November 6, 20262026-11-06T00:00:00+00:00China & Taiwan Update, November 6, 20262026-11-06T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/50cd74312a467fb4Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 6, 20262026-11-06T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 6, 20262026-11-06T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/8710f6495660cbc8Iran Update, November 6, 20262026-11-06T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, November 6, 20262026-11-06T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/fc3e04479a30218fWhy Rasputitsa Shapes Operational and Strategic Considerations in Ukraine2026-11-06T00:00:00+00:00As autumn sets in, Ukraine's rasputitsa mud season will constrain Russian manoeuvre on the battlefield and strain the railways supplying Moscow's forces in occupied territory.2026-11-06T00:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/c2a0c5e0cfa1c036What the New Democratic Congress Can (and Can’t) Do on Foreign Policy2026-11-05T19:58:44.153000+00:00Democrats now have the gavel and the purse, but the executive branch still pulls the levers on the U.S. role in the world.2026-11-05T19:58:44.153000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/761e5315992bb3fdBridging the Gap Between Climate Mobility Modeling and Policy Action2026-11-05T12:00:00+00:00Climate models and policymakers are constrained by rational challenges. Both sides need to be better understood in order to make progress.2026-11-05T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/28cbbb84f0169eb3Is Russia Winning the Perception War in Germany?2026-11-05T12:00:00+00:00In Germany, competing perceptions of Russia are highlighting a tension between public opinion and government policy. In the country’s east, where division is widespread, populist parties are taking advantage.2026-11-05T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/4aacb60aabf62b42Iran Update, November 5, 20262026-11-05T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, November 5, 20262026-11-05T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/03a6d14ea8827952Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 5, 20262026-11-05T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 5, 20262026-11-05T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/2cd153078fe33f13National Security Cannot Be an Afterthought in Antitrust Enforcement2026-11-05T00:00:00+00:00Antitrust remedies can reshape U.S. tech leadership relative to China. National security experts should assess those consequences before the government commits to enforcement, not after.2026-11-05T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/74a46e97f15e4ee3Lebanon’s Imperiled Transition: The Need for an Urgent Reset2026-11-05T00:00:00+00:00As Lebanon approaches the two-year mark of the new leadership’s mandate, progress toward real sovereignty and fundamental reform appears dangerously stalled. An urgent strategic reboot is necessary.2026-11-05T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/21089c17744db53ePost-Election Thoughts2026-11-05T00:00:00+00:00In this special edition of his weekly column, Bill Reinsch unpacks the results of the 2026 midterm elections and discusses how the Democratic majorities in the House and the Senate might approach trade policy in the next Congress.2026-11-05T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/9dd3ee6d89b5037ePreparing for the Next Crisis2026-11-05T00:00:00+00:00This installment of Charting the Middle East highlights the importance of early warning systems, emergency communications, and community-based warning mechanisms amid recurrent surges of conflict in the region.2026-11-05T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/c9ff1e526d738143Europe’s Defence Coalitions Need Someone to Own the Outcome2026-11-05T00:00:00+00:00EU leaders are pushing capability coalitions. The next question is who is responsible when the capability does not materialise.2026-11-05T00:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/ec28acf70cfef225The Long War: Rethinking Defence Strategy in Prolonged Conflict2026-11-05T00:00:00+00:00Modern defence strategy must shift from preparing for short, decisive conflicts to building the infrastructure needed for wars that extend far beyond initial expectations.2026-11-05T00:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/811658d04767817aWho Calls the Shots? Institutional Conflicts in Ukraine’s Defence Sector2026-11-05T00:00:00+00:00The dismissals of Mykhailo Fedorov and Oleksandr Syrskyi exposed institutional flaws in how Ukraine manages its war that new appointments alone cannot fix.2026-11-05T00:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/3e59219820d40241COP31 and the Future of Climate Clubs2026-11-04T22:07:11.678000+00:00As the United States exits UN climate efforts, these smaller and less formal groupings will take on greater significance in global climate governance.2026-11-04T22:07:11.678000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/d3e9b3d9bf824e31How a U.S.-Russia Standoff Ended a Decades-Old UN Mission in Western Sahara2026-11-04T21:37:50.507000+00:00MINURSO’s renewal by the Security Council became highly politicized. Its expiration brings concerns of renewed violence and the future of demining efforts.2026-11-04T21:37:50.507000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/0270ac51ad025f03Three Ways the New Democratic Congress Could Constrain Trump on Foreign Policy2026-11-04T18:06:04.962000+00:00How Capitol Hill might reassert checks on the executive branch.2026-11-04T18:06:04.962000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/7716d930b5d137e9Turkey’s Four Headaches Are Also Europe’s2026-11-04T12:00:00+00:00Between stalled economic ties and a push for greater security cooperation, EU-Turkey relations remain uncertain. Ankara’s continued slide toward autocracy is the likeliest common denominator in these competing dynamics.2026-11-04T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/2b682efc96ede886Korean Peninsula Update, November 4, 20262026-11-04T00:00:00+00:00Korean Peninsula Update, November 4, 20262026-11-04T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/7d137df2de23bfdbIran Update, November 4, 20262026-11-04T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, November 4, 20262026-11-04T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/9da9799b992396dcRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 4, 20262026-11-04T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 4, 20262026-11-04T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/462938d83259dbcbOleshky Ceasefire Demonstrates That Russia Has the Capability, but Not the Will, to End Civilian Suffering in Ukraine2026-11-04T00:00:00+00:00Oleshky Ceasefire Demonstrates That Russia Has the Capability, but Not the Will, to End Civilian Suffering in Ukraine2026-11-04T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/74bd6ffbde352150States Weekly: November 4, 20262026-11-04T00:00:00+00:00This edition of States Weekly covers November 4, 2026.2026-11-04T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/3a2f5fa2f9159cb5What’s in Canada’s New National Security Plan?2026-11-04T00:00:00+00:00CSIS experts unpack Canada’s first national security strategy in more than 20 years, including its timing, priorities, implications for continental defense, and possible reactions from the United States.2026-11-04T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/b61397107f77df4aWho Polices the Blockchain? The Binance Heist and the New Gatekeepers2026-11-04T00:00:00+00:00The institutions that have the authority to police international finance are no longer necessarily the institutions that possess the capabilities to do so.2026-11-04T00:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f327390a9503a6d4Episode 132: Brazil’s Elections: Why Lula’s Win Matters for Global Security2026-11-04T00:00:00+00:00Dr Daniela Portella Sampaio joins Dr Andrew Gee to discuss the security implications of Brazil's 2026 election and Lula's fourth term.2026-11-04T00:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/ca4eda971763de27Nuclear Deterrence Needs to Account for Domestic Politics2026-11-03T16:20:02.674000+00:00Individual leaders and public attitudes—especially in democracies—matter for credibility.2026-11-03T16:20:02.674000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/22409339de2c5df6Member States Must Make Enlargement Their Own2026-11-03T12:00:00+00:00The European Commission is preparing the EU for its next enlargement. But member states need to make it a project that European citizens can understand, shape, and support.2026-11-03T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/c36eefee6c00e03cCould Nuclear Warheads Really Be Deployed to the Baltic States?2026-11-03T12:00:00+00:00Latvia and Lithuania have been considering whether they could temporarily host NATO nuclear weapons in the event of war or a similar crisis.2026-11-03T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/eacf08e61cbdf5faEnergy Turmoil Puts the Gulf of Guinea Back on the Map2026-11-03T12:00:00+00:00In the wake of the current global energy crisis, U.S. stakeholders should return their focus to the West African region.2026-11-03T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/661dba78e0bd6654China & Taiwan Update, November 3, 20262026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00China & Taiwan Update, November 3, 20262026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/ef81214715531c36Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 3, 20262026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 3, 20262026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f7391ccf87f77c32Iran Update, November 3, 20262026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, November 3, 20262026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/24121bb8ddc00124The Future of USMCA2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00In this week’s column, William Alan Reinsch discusses the difference between the type of North American trade agreement that the United States wants and the type of agreement that would benefit all three countries on the continent.2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/e6c7f36a3676f4efSpain's Defence Industry at the Ballot Box2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00As Spain heads into a snap general election in late November, the challenges regarding the future of the country’s defence loom over the polls.2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/e51336567220373bEpisode 4: The Dangers of Strategic Fashion: Dr Chiara Libiseller2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00Buzzwords and jargon abound in the literature on strategy. While they can be useful lenses through which to understand change, they can obfuscate variety in warfare.2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/05ba80b655df7f5dHow Indian Americans Plan to Vote in the 2026 Midterms2026-11-02T16:41:08.913000+00:00The 2024 Republican gains among this important constituency have not held.2026-11-02T16:41:08.913000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/6165a014a2c5c42bPlanetary Power: Geoengineering and the New Geopolitics of Climate Intervention2026-11-02T12:00:00+00:00Geoengineering is becoming a geopolitical question as much as a climate one. The way states and the private sector pursue these technologies, assess risks, and drive research increasingly appears focused on gaining a strategic edge. In a field where governance in lagging behind, Europe should keep track of the geopolitical implications if it is to develop effective regulatory frameworks.2026-11-02T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/9b456e0cec34766dThe Fallacy of Energy Deals With Russia2026-11-02T12:00:00+00:00Russia does not have to treat Western companies as equal partners. A centralized regime built on a foundation of oil and gas income was never going to relinquish what it saw as sovereign control.2026-11-02T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/fa3b7ddec49b9d21Europe Struggles to Sustain Support for Ukraine2026-11-02T12:00:00+00:00EU and member-state leaders will need to show the political will and flexibility to adjust to Ukraine’s changing needs and to find compromises that will put support on a sustainable, long-term footing.2026-11-02T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/cfc937c19319d401Iran Update, November 2, 20262026-11-02T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, November 2, 20262026-11-02T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/517c78bb3f49d2e7Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 2, 20262026-11-02T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 2, 20262026-11-02T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f805677b22313776What Are U.S. Military Options in Iran?2026-11-02T00:00:00+00:00As Washington weighs force against Tehran alongside ongoing negotiations and an economic blockade, CSIS’s Benjamin Jensen evaluates six military options ranging from coercive diplomacy and targeted strikes to a prolonged sea control campaign and covert action.2026-11-02T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/d03e1819a7dbddb9Deepfakes Are Dominating Global Elections, and Regulation Is Playing Catch-Up2026-11-02T00:00:00+00:00As AI-generated deepfakes become increasingly prevalent in elections worldwide, governments are struggling to distinguish political expression from deception and enforce regulations before misleading content reaches voters.2026-11-02T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/4b0c8ed5a84448e4Who Controls Ukraine’s Starlink Access?2026-11-02T00:00:00+00:00A 100 mph speed limit on Starshield terminals hindered Ukraine’s efforts to intercept Russia’s jet-powered drones. The risk of losing access during an attack gives allies another reason to build their own networks instead of buying service from U.S. companies.2026-11-02T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/84194e1889bdea61Bibi and the Blockchain: When a Prime Minister Plans for Sanctions Evasion2026-11-02T00:00:00+00:00Benjamin Netanyahu’s interest in cryptocurrency reveals both the continuing power of financial sanctions and the current limits of technological attempts to circumvent them.2026-11-02T00:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/11a316155a8fe59aIran Update, November 1, 20262026-11-01T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, November 1, 20262026-11-01T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/8928667c2a6490f8Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 1, 20262026-11-01T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 1, 20262026-11-01T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/c5654ea3e73444ddIran Update, October 31, 20262026-10-31T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, October 31, 20262026-10-31T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/779cd80e228340a5Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 31, 20262026-10-31T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 31, 20262026-10-31T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/75ba7b109c43cf2cVučić’s Downfall in Serbia Is Fatal to Russia’s Influence in the Balkans2026-10-30T12:00:00+00:00The new Serbian leadership may have promised to keep on cooperating with Russia, but soon they will have to make a choice between fighting corruption and sealing lucrative deals with Moscow. The two are mutually exclusive, even if the new leaders in Belgrade haven’t yet realized it.2026-10-30T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/857ada274e148518Iran Update, October 30, 20262026-10-30T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, October 30, 20262026-10-30T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/7fc9981bd4a8ff3bRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 30, 20262026-10-30T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 30, 20262026-10-30T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/13f03c7cdbbacd4dChina & Taiwan Update, October 30, 20262026-10-30T00:00:00+00:00China & Taiwan Update, October 30, 20262026-10-30T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/513dda440970faadOperation Rummy: Franco-British Nuclear Cooperation Strengthens European Deterrence2026-10-30T00:00:00+00:00Operation Rummy , the first joint Franco-British nuclear air exercise, deepens bilateral deterrence and offers a template for wider European nuclear cooperation.2026-10-30T00:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/08a67ca760e8b8bfEpisode 5: Kleptocracy: Exposing It is Not Enough2026-10-30T00:00:00+00:00Why civil society, financial institutions and governments must connect their evidence and capabilities to dismantle kleptocratic networks.2026-10-30T00:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/8ec53c9bfcbd5720The Gulf States Are Looking for an Exit in Iran2026-10-29T16:40:15.379000+00:00The six GCC members’ unity would be a valued—if not essential—asset for negotiating an end to the simmering regional conflict.2026-10-29T16:40:15.379000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/3d79e113c8fd6515Israel Has Held National Elections2026-10-29T12:58:22.709000+00:00Spot analysis from Carnegie scholars on events relating to the Middle East and North Africa.2026-10-29T12:58:22.709000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/39a82d45b59c53f2Taking the Pulse: Is Burnham’s EU Policy Bold Enough?2026-10-29T12:00:00+00:00Resetting relations with the EU is a central plank of the UK’s current foreign policy. Is Andy Burnham being bold enough or is he falling into the same trap as his predecessors, misreading the power dynamic?2026-10-29T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f34f44d15744cdfcHow Did Serbia Remove Vučić Without a Single Smashed Window?2026-10-29T12:00:00+00:00Serbia’s electoral earthquake is an extremely rare example of an entire political system being defeated by street protesters who played by the rules.2026-10-29T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/b5381e1fe7af2a42Iran Update, October 29, 20262026-10-29T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, October 29, 20262026-10-29T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/dc9fbf9e51d45f60Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 29, 20262026-10-29T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 29, 20262026-10-29T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/e489bc772ca37df4Russian Occupation Update, October 29, 20262026-10-29T00:00:00+00:00Russian Occupation Update, October 29, 20262026-10-29T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/698aee8a447a53ccStrength in Unity: Climate Action for the Pacific Islands2026-10-29T00:00:00+00:00Pacific Island countries have turned collective diplomacy into global climate influence—but there are limits to this approach without greater global support.2026-10-29T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/ec1d219f086adc01Transshipment Crackdowns Won’t Fix the U.S.-China Trade Imbalance2026-10-29T00:00:00+00:00The White House alleges that Chinese exports are being rerouted through third countries to circumvent U.S. tariffs. By analyzing transshipment activity and substantive supply chain shifts, CSIS challenges this diagnosis and highlights persistent structural issues.2026-10-29T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/7cbf213bbe954e08What Latin America Can Teach the United States about Drone Defense2026-10-29T00:00:00+00:00The CSIS Americas Program analyzes opportunities for the United States to cooperate with partners in Latin America to combat nonstate drone threats.2026-10-29T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/0d9dca86ec18b991Only the Gulf Can End the Iran War2026-10-29T00:00:00+00:00In Foreign Affairs, CSIS's Allison Minor with Nate Swanson argues a cease-fire brokered and managed by the Gulf Arab states can end the Iran war.2026-10-29T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/55e15c0cdd38b6c0From Human Proxies to Autonomous Adaptation: The Next Phase of Russia's Hybrid Activity2026-10-29T00:00:00+00:00Russia’s disposable sabotage networks already give Moscow room to manoeuvre. AI agents that adapt autonomously could make that strategy of optionality cheaper and more persistent.2026-10-29T00:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f1a4dfa7826997faDigital Disguise: The Scourge of AIS Spoofing2026-10-29T00:00:00+00:00Spoofed ship-tracking signals are turning a maritime safety system into a tool of sanctions evasion and hybrid warfare, from Antarctica to the High North.2026-10-29T00:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/67b96736a715759eRecording: Designing Effective 'Follow the Money' Projects to Counter Wildlife Crime2026-10-29T00:00:00+00:00New RUSI research reveals what makes 'follow the money' interventions succeed in combating wildlife crime, and how to design for impact.2026-10-29T00:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/405ae3b892becc8cIsrael’s Election Had No Clear Winner. What Comes Next for the Region?2026-10-28T20:31:49.633000+00:00Carnegie’s Middle East Program scholars reflect on the impasse and its potential impacts on the Middle East.2026-10-28T20:31:49.633000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/40979626ccbc3b34Can America First Be Exported to Europe?2026-10-28T13:31:41.798000+00:00The illusion of reproducing the ideology would come at the cost of the continent’s prosperity.2026-10-28T13:31:41.798000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/a52922dc024fa7f3How Middle Powers Can Survive the AI Race2026-10-28T12:00:00+00:00Four scenarios for an uncertain future.2026-10-28T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/5c8092bd32395c69Iran Update, October 28, 20262026-10-28T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, October 28, 20262026-10-28T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/7fdfe924377c01a1Iranian-Backed Iraqi Militias Seek to Undermine Baghdad’s Disarmament Efforts2026-10-28T00:00:00+00:00Iranian-Backed Iraqi Militias Seek to Undermine Baghdad’s Disarmament Efforts2026-10-28T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/229687803ee9e108Korean Peninsula Update, October 28, 20262026-10-28T00:00:00+00:00Korean Peninsula Update, October 28, 20262026-10-28T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/525f2d7672e4a805Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 28, 20262026-10-28T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 28, 20262026-10-28T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/8fa24022dd2ffba8Decoding the Right-to-Repair Debate2026-10-28T00:00:00+00:00The right-to-repair debate, concerning who controls U.S. defense IP, has become a contentious issue in defense acquisition policy. Lawmakers need to balance the military’s push for greater access to technical data and industry’s fear of losing revenue and IP control.2026-10-28T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/6fee1888b87d81f7FY 2027 Defense Funding: Potential Post-Midterm Outcomes2026-10-28T00:00:00+00:00Congress has a full post-midterm agenda, with action needed to fund the Department of Defense and federal government and reconciliation legislation to consider. Seamus Daniels lays out the factors that will shape FY 2027 defense funding decisions after the midterms.2026-10-28T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/43cd007e104437abStates Weekly: October 28, 20262026-10-28T00:00:00+00:00This edition of States Weekly covers October 28, 2026.2026-10-28T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/dcb5d3ecfc728586Middle Powers and the Illusion of a Post-America Middle East2026-10-28T00:00:00+00:00Gulf diplomacy fuels claims of a middle-power moment, but the Iran war exposes limits to strategic autonomy and enduring US supremacy.2026-10-28T00:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/b2b94ace77fa5749Editorial: RUSI Journal, Issue 6, 20262026-10-28T00:00:00+00:00Kevin Rowlands, Editor of the RUSI Journal, introduces 2026's Issue 6.2026-10-28T00:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/02c8186c0b9c4be0Young and Restless in the Middle East2026-10-27T14:56:45.920000+00:00In an interview, Mayssoun Sukarieh discusses youths in the region, and how they are being defined and reshaped.2026-10-27T14:56:45.920000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/efdc3b3fdbc6abccSpeed Isn’t Working as an AI Strategy. The U.S. Has a Better Option.2026-10-27T13:11:38.136000+00:00It would provide a golden opportunity to reconsider what success looks like.2026-10-27T13:11:38.136000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/279e0288c9b51871A New Dawn for Democracy in Serbia2026-10-27T12:00:00+00:00Excitement is in the air following Aleksandar Vučić’s defeat in Serbia. To build a truly democratic state, the movement that unseated the former president must learn from the mistakes of the past.2026-10-27T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/9f23625562353d39Putin’s Post-Election Reshuffle Advances Russian State Erosion2026-10-27T12:00:00+00:00The pressures of war are gradually warping Russia’s system of governance, making it more vulnerable to a future crisis.2026-10-27T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/38b01ef79bba8c3bAtomic Disorder: the Re-nuclearisation of the World2026-10-27T12:00:00+00:00Emerging disorder is likely to be accelerated by, and reflected in, the re-nuclearization of global politics.2026-10-27T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/c99c4709dd80d14bIdeological Competition and Global (Dis)orders2026-10-27T12:00:00+00:00Intensifying geopolitical tensions and challenges for global order often seem to align with ideological fault-lines: key transnational patterns of different political values, narratives, and goals that divide states, international organizations, and social movements. Yet the significance of such ‘ideological competition’ is not well understood.2026-10-27T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/8ccd7702708aa461Transnational Authoritarianism and International Order2026-10-27T12:00:00+00:00A look at the factors are facilitating transnational authoritarianism’s spread and changing its character.2026-10-27T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/a02df81fd7efcdf3A History of Planetary Policy-thinking2026-10-27T12:00:00+00:00In the midst of the multi-scale, multivalent challenges the world faces today, social and natural scientists as well as policymakers have begun to argue for the need to take a planetary perspective.2026-10-27T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/6cc64696ee712086The New Washington Dissensus: Trump, Development Cooperation and Global (Dis)ordermaking2026-10-27T12:00:00+00:00A look at the ideological and policy shifts in U.S. development cooperation under the second Trump administration and their implications for international development and the evolving global (dis)order.2026-10-27T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/7cec3bb952b58013Iran Update, October 27, 20262026-10-27T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, October 27, 20262026-10-27T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/c7a7ad5f32b8d128Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 27, 20262026-10-27T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 27, 20262026-10-27T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/60c543753a8b35d5China & Taiwan Update, October 27, 20262026-10-27T00:00:00+00:00China & Taiwan Update, October 27, 20262026-10-27T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/ee9f083e9cac17a4Business Support for Human Rights Defenders in an Era of Government Retrenchment2026-10-27T00:00:00+00:00Human rights defenders are vital partners for businesses operating around the globe. Civic space and the business operating environment are fundamentally intertwined. Businesses should, can, and have supported HRDs in their important work, and such support is more needed than ever.2026-10-27T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/388b3faf7ec19ea7The Ant and the Grasshopper—Revised Version2026-10-27T00:00:00+00:00In this week’s column, Bill Reinsch discusses the administration’s challenges in implementing some elements of its trade policies.2026-10-27T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/d0a34a1f4e4b51a9Book Event: Lifeline by John Donnelly2026-10-27T00:00:00+00:00The CSIS Bipartisan Alliance for Global Health Security and CSIS Africa Program hosted John Donnelly for a discussion of his recently published book, Lifeline: The Story of PEPFAR, the Greatest Humanitarian Initiative of Our Time.2026-10-27T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f1d9fc4e42828d38Why the Netherlands Must Hold the Line on ASML2026-10-27T00:00:00+00:00If the Netherlands agrees to US export controls, it must be mindful of its vulnerability to retaliatory measures from Beijing.2026-10-27T00:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f7bf60af600ef03bEgypt’s Abdel-Fattah al-Sisi Has Pledged to Leave Office in 20302026-10-26T13:12:08.078000+00:00Spot analysis from Carnegie scholars on events relating to the Middle East and North Africa.2026-10-26T13:12:08.078000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/c52fedec28fdd133Time for Saudi Clarity on Normalization with Israel2026-10-26T12:00:00+00:00The U.S. midterm elections signal the opening of a narrow window for bold Saudi diplomacy on Palestine.2026-10-26T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/b94de4f13097f8aaIran Update, October 26, 20262026-10-26T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, October 26, 20262026-10-26T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/a36ba1f0b8ae574bRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 26, 20262026-10-26T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 26, 20262026-10-26T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/ba4f5d004f83e05eNew Zealand’s Two-Track China Policy2026-10-26T00:00:00+00:00New Zealand is hardening its stance toward China as security concerns mount, but deep economic dependence on Beijing limits how far Wellington can realign with its Western partners.2026-10-26T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/b25f6328c39652eaThe FCC Covered List: National Security, Economic Policy, and Technology Supply Chains2026-10-26T00:00:00+00:00The FCC’s Covered List has expanded beyond specific high-risk suppliers to restrict entire categories of foreign-produced technology. What does this shift mean for U.S. national security, domestic businesses, and global technology supply chains?2026-10-26T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/562ee28ded14635dDefence Spending: Challenges for the Budget and Beyond2026-10-26T00:00:00+00:00Funding further increases in defence spending would require hard choices – cutting spending elsewhere, raising taxes or borrowing more – both at this Budget and in the years ahead.2026-10-26T00:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/325fce5fa2150dcdRecording: Lord Trenchard Memorial Lecture: Air Chief Marshal Sir Harv Smyth2026-10-26T00:00:00+00:00This year’s Lord Trenchard Memorial Lecture was delivered by Air Chief Marshal Sir Harv Smyth, Chief of the Air Staff, Royal Air Force.2026-10-26T00:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/fb976616f06cdd05Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 25, 20262026-10-25T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 25, 20262026-10-25T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/ca6aef63480dcc70Iran Update, October 25, 20262026-10-25T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, October 25, 20262026-10-25T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/11ccc1fa993adb29Iran Update, October 24, 20262026-10-24T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, October 24, 20262026-10-24T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/b1194eab6477d162Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 24, 20262026-10-24T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 24, 20262026-10-24T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/1f15acd96541e913Price Analysis Shows China Holds Upper Hand in Russia Gas Supply Talks2026-10-23T12:00:00+00:00A leak of Russian gas price data helps establish that China is paying Russia far less than Central Asian countries and Gazprom’s former European customers.2026-10-23T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/43b79e2c2fda3783Iran Update, October 23, 20262026-10-23T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, October 23, 20262026-10-23T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/e55bce1afad8082aChina & Taiwan Update, October 23, 20262026-10-23T00:00:00+00:00China & Taiwan Update, October 23, 20262026-10-23T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/691df2c5e48bbb4bThe Myth of Inevitable Russian Victory over Ukraine2026-10-23T00:00:00+00:00The Myth of Inevitable Russian Victory over Ukraine2026-10-23T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/68d2bf0f070ce1e2Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 23, 20262026-10-23T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 23, 20262026-10-23T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/56d87fd1e228a1a3Defining the Russian Military Threat Against Europe2026-10-23T00:00:00+00:00Defining the Russian Military Threat Against Europe2026-10-23T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/8c19b6b07348371cUkraine and South Korea’s Diplomatic Dispute Deepens | State of Play2026-10-23T00:00:00+00:00Victor Cha explains why the diplomatic dispute between South Korea and Ukraine over President Volodymyr Zelensky’s public disclosure that Kyiv had transferred two North Korean prisoners of war to Seoul has deepened, and what both sides may want out of it.2026-10-23T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/2e33cc67a22a3a70Did the United States and Russia Just Agree to Collaborate on Data Centers?2026-10-23T00:00:00+00:00A joint data center proposed as part of broader negotiations between the United States and Russia poses a substantive threat to U.S. national security. Congress should play a vital role in scrutinizing the idea before it becomes a reality.2026-10-23T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/fd29ccf0b297a506Europe Needs its own Sanctions-Enforcement Muscle2026-10-22T12:00:00+00:00The EU can impose sanctions but struggles to enforce them without the United States. With Washington increasingly disinterested in backing European interests, the bloc must now fend for itself.2026-10-22T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/0132eac6c4b0388bThe Spring and Autumn of Chinese Politics2026-10-22T12:00:00+00:00China’s political future will be shaped between now and next October. As the Communist Party enters its intense “campaign season” to prepare for a major political transition in 2027, reading Beijing's actions and responses may become more difficult as domestic politics weigh on its behavior more than usual.2026-10-22T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/175a830f236c9fdfHow Hezbollah Is Preventing Its Disarmament, Again2026-10-22T00:00:00+00:00How Hezbollah Is Preventing Its Disarmament, Again2026-10-22T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/46edd4196a199298Iran Update, October 22, 20262026-10-22T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, October 22, 20262026-10-22T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/3dacf5630b6aa4fdRussian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 22, 20262026-10-22T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 22, 20262026-10-22T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/ae1a70601ff3c6f0Risk to Refugee Return2026-10-22T00:00:00+00:00This installment of Charting the Middle East highlights how the scale of unexploded ordnance (UXO) contamination, relative to returning populations, varies across Syria.2026-10-22T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/dd042a657e89052cThrottling Starlink Is a Disaster for Ukraine and the United States2026-10-22T00:00:00+00:00In demonstrating its unreliability as a security partner, the United States is eroding allied trust in U.S. defense and technology suppliers and in NATO.2026-10-22T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/938a759920c344cbSustaining South Africa’s Progress in the Next Phase of the HIV Fight2026-10-22T00:00:00+00:00South Africa has 8 million people living with HIV, and the government has introduced lenacapavir, a new HIV prevention drug. Thousands have started on the injections, but questions about future costs and supplies will need to be resolved to ensure the campaign’s success.2026-10-22T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/04f89ea33be1233eWhy Kazakhstan Joined Both the American and Chinese AI Initiatives2026-10-21T23:00:00+00:00Kazakhstan did not choose between Washington’s Pax Silica and Beijing’s WAICO: it joined both. It needs technology from both superpowers, and a say in the rules.2026-10-21T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/a5762bcf312433cfCentral Asia Wants U.S. Investments. It Is Less Sure About U.S. Conditions.2026-10-21T14:29:38.756000+00:00Rubio’s recent visit brought welcome attention, but more capital requires governance changes that may be a hard sell for regional governments.2026-10-21T14:29:38.756000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f39b11684c1c7b4dThe End of Primacy Without Pain2026-10-21T12:00:00+00:00America’s foreign-policy objectives have grown more demanding while Americans have demanded greater focus on their own affairs. U.S. global power has escaped its domestic moorings.2026-10-21T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/50022f660080cb7dAfrica in Demand: How the Continent Is Advancing Its Interests in a Competitive World2026-10-21T12:00:00+00:00Global and rising powers will need to engage with Africa’s priorities and agency in order to secure the continent’s increasingly attractive partnerships.2026-10-21T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/9f04efbc9e387348Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 21, 20262026-10-21T00:00:00+00:00Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, October 21, 20262026-10-21T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/2409894cc0f39cd4Korean Peninsula Update, October 21, 20262026-10-21T00:00:00+00:00Korean Peninsula Update, October 21, 20262026-10-21T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/7ab4fc2f0eb8555dIran Update, October 21, 20262026-10-21T00:00:00+00:00Iran Update, October 21, 20262026-10-21T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/1dd18962fbe55780Not Just an Island: Why Geography Should Not Drive U.S. Taiwan Policy2026-10-21T00:00:00+00:00Taiwan’s geographic position in Asia’s first island chain should not become the main reason why the United States supports Taiwan’s security. The main focus of U.S. policy should be preventing a PRC attack on Taiwan and the regional and global catastrophe it would cause.2026-10-21T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/e5c26ab1cd220cc1Beyond the U.S.-China Binary: The New Landscape of AI Partnerships in the Global South2026-10-21T00:00:00+00:00Global South countries are gaining new choices in building their AI ecosystems as China, India, and the Gulf States expand their technology offerings, creating new challenges for U.S. leadership.2026-10-21T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/cbfceff8c07f5ad1States Weekly: October 21, 20262026-10-21T00:00:00+00:00This edition of States Weekly covers October 21, 2026.2026-10-21T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/b4b27ebc5789d7c8The AI Force the United States Needs is a Cyber Force2026-10-21T00:00:00+00:00Cyberspace is the only warfighting domain without a dedicated service, and President Trump's calls for an AI Force won't fix that. A Cyber Force will.2026-10-21T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/e553db6bbb42fab0Human Rights Initiative Director's Note: October 2026 Edition2026-10-21T00:00:00+00:00The October 2026 edition of the Human Rights Initiative Director's Note where Andrew Friedman shares his reflections on human rights and democracy issues occupying significant space in his mind, highlights key HRI ongoings, and spotlights notable articles and videos he's come across.2026-10-21T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/42f952c8ca53c549The Missing Pillar of European Resilience2026-10-20T23:00:00+00:00Social cohesion is the one pillar of the EU's Hybrid Toolbox with no funding of its own. Countering Russian hybrid warfare means building it locally.2026-10-20T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/03c0c976fe3934f9Episode 131: UN Command Korea: Peninsula Security with Lt Gen Winter2026-10-20T23:00:00+00:00Lt Gen Scott Winter joins Philip Shetler-Jones to discuss the history and role of the UN Command in Korea, and the security challenges it faces today.2026-10-20T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/a5ad4bb92c7ec1c7The Human Capital Challenge for the Hybrid Navy Concept2026-10-20T23:00:00+00:00The Hybrid Navy debate presents autonomous systems and AI as central components of the Royal Navy's future force. Yet technology does not deliver operational advantage people do.2026-10-20T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/726945aadff21b6cCan AUKUS Submarines Protect Australia’s Maritime Trade?2026-10-20T23:00:00+00:00Nuclear-powered submarines offer Australia only limited protection for its maritime trade, and the cost of acquiring them crowds out better economic-security investments.2026-10-20T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/49053e4442f81eb7Containing Escalation in the Black Sea2026-10-20T12:00:00+00:00Russia is testing the waters of NATO’s mutual defense clause. What do strikes in Romanian and Bulgarian territorial waters mean for the alliance’s posture toward Moscow?2026-10-20T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/6487a7fb28f189d5Why Has Tokyo’s Response to Kremlin Challenges Been So Muted?2026-10-20T12:00:00+00:00Japan’s long-term security policy is driven by concerns about China, and there is little appetite for (or interest in) pursuing a confrontation with Moscow. 2026-10-20T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/c460c08ebf2e8985China & Taiwan Update, October 20, 20262026-10-20T00:00:00+00:00China & Taiwan Update, October 20, 20262026-10-20T00:00:00+00:00ISWtag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/6845956665ed00f0Why the United States Needs Europe in Order to Win the Technology Race2026-10-20T00:00:00+00:00Europe is both a vast market and a coproducer of U.S. technology. To outcompete China, the United States must offer allies a stake in building the future rather than exploit their dependencies.2026-10-20T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/b0bdef55d0f3a867The Pacific Security Puzzle2026-10-20T00:00:00+00:00Fierce competition for strategic influence has prompted a proliferation of security-related agreements across the Pacific Islands region in recent years. A new interactive tool from the Australia Chair maps 56 of these arrangements across 14 Pacific countries.2026-10-20T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/9b853aa28ed8c883Cartels, Cameras, and Commercial Data: Nonstate Actors and Ubiquitous Technical Surveillance2026-10-20T00:00:00+00:00The most advanced nation-states can exploit ubiquitous technology, data, and connectivity to advance intelligence and military aims—but now, cartels and violent criminal organizations can too.2026-10-20T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/3e1c4995584e702fWhat Happens After the Election2026-10-20T00:00:00+00:00In this week’s column, Bill Reinsch discusses what trade policy might look like after the midterm elections if Democrats win the majority in the House of Representatives or the Senate.2026-10-20T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/82162bcdf14d5036Episode 3: Escape from the World-Island: Geopolitics and Geoeconomics2026-10-19T23:00:00+00:00Professor Scott Smitson traces the origins of geopolitics and geoeconomics as concepts and why these forgotten ideas are returning to shape today's world.2026-10-19T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/ca5beb911eeb0b2dNature Credits: Europe’s Next Financial Crime Blind Spot2026-10-19T23:00:00+00:00Brussels is designing a nature credits market with integrity rules but none on money laundering; its own carbon market shows what that gap can cost.2026-10-19T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/b87f31451277e6bfMilitary Tech Conference Closing Keynote: Dan Rodenhurst, UK Ministry of Defence2026-10-19T23:00:00+00:00Dan Rodenhurst, Chief Digital Information Officer, UK Ministry of Defence, gave the closing keynote at this year's Military Technology Conference.2026-10-19T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/ebb98aebcdffbbcaThe Mecca Pact and the Limits of American Guarantees2026-10-19T17:05:55.869000+00:00Why Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey are joining forces on regional security.2026-10-19T17:05:55.869000+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/3fb15d8df15fb92eThe Future of Russian-European Relations Is Bleak2026-10-19T12:00:00+00:00The truth of the strategic situation is that Europe and Russia are extremely unlikely to be able to “turn the page” on their confrontation within the next two decades.2026-10-19T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/5c99f3a2dd33d743How Can Approaches from Physical Ecology Help Research and Policy on the Information Environment?2026-10-19T12:00:00+00:00Scholars and policymakers increasingly use ecological metaphors such as “information environment” and “information ecosystem” to describe contemporary informational spaces. Ecology offers more than loanwords. Its concepts and frameworks can help researchers understand relationships among people, technology, content, and society. 2026-10-19T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/a3d4ddec6370fdffCan China Turn Its Small Modular Reactor Ambitions into Commercial Reality?2026-10-19T12:00:00+00:00China has showcased its engineering prowess with small modular reactor demonstration projects. But turning these technological achievements into commercial success will be a greater challenge.2026-10-19T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/dce925b8899970b5China’s Global Security Initiative and the Future of the International Security Order2026-10-19T12:00:00+00:00Western commentators have called China’s Global Security Initiative (GSI) an effort to remake the international order. Over four years after its introduction, however, it is not clear how this still opaque proposal will challenge the current security order.2026-10-19T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/ba31aca895d1ec88Non-Western Powers and Security in Africa2026-10-19T12:00:00+00:00Over the last decade, there has been a rise in security engagement in Africa by non-Western powers such as China, Iran, Russia, Türkiye, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE), among others. A look at why African leaders have found these non-African and non-Western partners appealing.2026-10-19T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/5ceda9e644469a2fNetworks, Power, and Packet-switching: Understanding the Houthis’ Global Reach2026-10-19T12:00:00+00:00While Iranian support has been critical, the Houthis’ rapid capability growth also reflects their use of decentralized, globally connected networks facilitated by a broader global transition to the ‘packet-switching’ logic that underpins the internet2026-10-19T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/ee339ea4af028e79Three Ordering Projects and the Fate of Post-Cold War East Asia2026-10-19T12:00:00+00:00The post-Cold War order in East Asia cannot be explained by a changing balance of power alone; it is also the product of three competing ordering projects historically pursued by the United States and its allies; China; and ASEAN.2026-10-19T12:00:00+00:00Carnegie Endowmenttag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/5f75e6bc95d521fe25 Years After the Anthrax Attacks, Reauthorize and Modernize PAHPA to Better Protect Americans2026-10-19T00:00:00+00:00Today, 25 years after the 2001 anthrax attacks, the biological threat landscape is becoming even riskier. It’s time for Congress to reauthorize and modernize the Pandemic and All Hazards Preparedness Act (PAHPA).2026-10-19T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/153d6fd91f22a66bSpace Superiority and the Military Tools to Secure It2026-10-19T00:00:00+00:00Space superiority requires credible military options to protect U.S. forces and counter adversaries’ use of space. Integrating space control capabilities into joint operations can strengthen deterrence and preserve U.S. advantage.2026-10-19T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/d4ca3b4199d2a01fRecording: The Iran Crisis Stocktake2026-10-18T23:00:00+00:00A RUSI Members' briefing and questions session with a panel of experts, discussing the implications of the evolving conflict in Iran.2026-10-18T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/6338bd708de20f76FATF Has Declared War on Fraud. Not All Its Allies Can Afford to Fight2026-10-18T23:00:00+00:00The UK is right to put fraud at the heart of its FATF presidency. Success will require source countries to have the means to act.2026-10-18T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/88b93922da9dad78Episode 4: A7A5: Russia's Stablecoin Lifeline2026-10-15T23:00:00+00:00How a rouble-backed stablecoin, Tether’s USDT and an alternative payments network are testing the reach of Western sanctions.2026-10-15T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/273d2020d4533272Fentanyl in Italy and the European Opioid Market2026-10-15T23:00:00+00:00Italy’s low fentanyl death toll reflects Europe’s distinct opioid market history, not mafia restraint – but synthetic opioids such as nitazenes are a growing threat.2026-10-15T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/62e009a5fbb6166fRethinking the Legal Profession’s Role in Business and Human Rights2026-10-15T00:00:00+00:00With a key U.S. court path to corporate accountability closed and no federal due diligence mandate, lawyers are among the last safeguards for human rights. CSIS experts outline how counsel, bar associations, and courts can use existing professional rules to guard against rights harms and silencing tactics.2026-10-15T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/73c0c1ea20d727f9“Bunker Busters”: Deep Targets, Shallow Stocks2026-10-15T00:00:00+00:00Bunker buster munitions were once a niche capability required for a small set of special targets. They have now moved into the mainstream as U.S. adversaries have responded to U.S. precision attack munitions by hardening and burying many activities.2026-10-15T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/de7a742ce792cbbaCambodia’s Scam Center Cleanup: Is It Working?2026-10-15T00:00:00+00:00In the aftermath of 2025 Thailand-Cambodia border skirmishes, scam center operations in Cambodia has captured international attention. Cambodia has implemented new legislation, sweeping crackdowns, and international anti-scam coalition building. Are these efforts working?2026-10-15T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/bd3a18cd045650a3Could Russia Be Poised to Use an On-Orbit Weapon Against a Commercial Satellite?2026-10-15T00:00:00+00:00Cosmos 2612 is moving into position for close-proximity operations with a U.S.-registered commercial satellite supporting Ukraine. With a history of on orbit weapons tests and gray zone aggression, Russia may be betting the West won’t respond forcefully to an attack. The West must be ready to.2026-10-15T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/9232837bce8912ccAvoiding Another Long War in Yemen2026-10-15T00:00:00+00:00In the wake of the Riyadh airport attacks, Saudi Arabia risks getting sucked into another long, costly war that ultimately only emboldens the Houthis and deepens the regional conflict. Allison Minor outlines a better approach.2026-10-15T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/263c63f127ceee80The Future of U.S.-UK Defense Cooperation with UK Secretary of Defence Wes Streeting2026-10-15T00:00:00+00:00CSIS Europe, Russia, and Eurasia Program hosted a conversation with UK Secretary of State for Defence Wes Streeting on how both countries can keep deterrence credible in Europe and beyond.2026-10-15T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/6a88c793fee74750NATO Medical Readiness and Russian Escalation2026-10-14T23:00:00+00:00Russian aggression requires NATO to prepare its medical services now – using implementation science and Ukrainian experience to expand its workforce and build modular, scalable care.2026-10-14T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/0e775630e4a7a66bRecording: National Security without Development?2026-10-14T23:00:00+00:00Former military and intelligence personnel discuss the security and defence implications of Western aid cuts and the strategic costs of retrenchment.2026-10-14T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/c0f94dfaa2e45186Recording: Terrorist Use of Hybrid Threat Finance Networks2026-10-14T23:00:00+00:00The webinar explores how terrorist financing is increasingly conducted through hybrid threat finance networks that combine traditional financial systems with digital assets.2026-10-14T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f7adefbc1ae39df3Ukraine Has Imposed a Kerosene Shortage on Russia2026-10-14T23:00:00+00:00Ukrainian drone strikes on refineries have caused a Russian kerosene shortage, disrupting flights, draining the budget and pushing Central Asian partners towards other suppliers.2026-10-14T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/21bcd0c262cb532cStates Weekly: October 14, 20262026-10-14T00:00:00+00:00This edition of States Weekly covers October 14, 2026.2026-10-14T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/2253b2b581e7778cChina's Cyber Strategy and Western Deterrence Gaps2026-10-13T23:00:00+00:00What might NATO governments need to do better to respond to China’s approach to cyber espionage?2026-10-13T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/979ba3b707d4fd8aWhat Do Brazil’s Elections Mean for its Foreign Policy?2026-10-13T23:00:00+00:00Whether Lula or Flávio Bolsonaro wins Brazil’s presidential run-off, a right-leaning Congress and pressure from China, the US and Europe will constrain its foreign policy.2026-10-13T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/87a86415c329c8e1CSIS Names Chris Fall Vice President of the Economic Security and Technology Department2026-10-13T00:00:00+00:00The Center for Strategic and International Studies today announced that Dr. Chris Fall has joined the Economic Security and Technology Department as vice president.2026-10-13T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/bd5b0ccf4ff58abbAllison Minor Joins CSIS Middle East Program as Senior Fellow2026-10-13T00:00:00+00:00The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) today announced that Allison Minor has joined the CSIS Middle East Program as a senior fellow.2026-10-13T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/3dc448dff25a8ae4Diplomacy or Coercion?2026-10-13T00:00:00+00:00In this week’s column, Bill Reinsch discusses how Trump’s coercive trade policies played out at the recent G20 foreign ministers’ meeting.2026-10-13T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/bc1adba3163c1793The U.S. and Korea Should Be Bold in Their Investments2026-10-13T00:00:00+00:00Seoul and Washington should dedicate a portion of the investments to projects that will improve national security and supply chain security even if they entail accepting some commercial risk.2026-10-13T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/30aace0ea88b8501The Role of Beneficial Ownership Transparency in the Hard Power Era2026-10-12T23:00:00+00:00In the age of hard power, beneficial ownership transparency must shift from an anti-corruption ideal to a national security capability for Britain and its allies.2026-10-12T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/84c3431c20c06392Talk of Russian Regime Change Could Inspire a New European Peace Strategy2026-10-11T23:00:00+00:00While Putin doubles down to defeat Ukraine and Trump calls for regime change in Kyiv, the NATO Allies should pitch an off-ramp to Putin’s potential successors.2026-10-11T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/4056d02e785b69fdDoes Health Research Reach Washington? A Conversation on Evidence, Policy, and the Gap Between Them | CSIS-WashU Workshop2026-10-09T00:00:00+00:00The CSIS Bipartisan Alliance for Global Health Security and the WashU Bursky School of Public Health hosted an event focused on the role of universities in strengthening the connection between research evidence and policy action.2026-10-09T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/1e844485ab625503China is Not Just Claiming the South China Sea. It is Learning to Govern It2026-10-08T23:00:00+00:00Beijing claims a Philippine resupply mission to Second Thomas Shoal was illegal, lacking approval from Beijing, China has shifted to treating this as space it administers.2026-10-08T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/e5169cce0e5f9330Risk and strategy for Indonesia – China Marine Scientific Research cooperation2026-10-08T00:00:00+00:00During the Indonesia-China foreign ministers’ meeting in Jakarta in August this year, both countries agreed to make maritime cooperation one of the main pillars of Indonesia-China strategic dialogue. One of the maritime cooperation priority agendas discussed was marine scientific research. But with China often using marine scientific research as part of its assertive maritime strategy, […]2026-10-08T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/73068ec7ca3b56dbWhat Joint Exercises Assume About How Crises Behave2026-10-07T23:00:00+00:00Joint exercises assume crises arrive singly, are recognisable and end on schedule. Compounded crises break all three, and readiness reporting cannot detect it.2026-10-07T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/5e058c342c22f6c9In Helping Ukraine, We Protect Ourselves2026-10-07T23:00:00+00:00Supporting Ukraine is self-interest, not charity: Russia threatens democracies well beyond Europe, and Ukraine’s battlefield innovation and civilian resilience hold lessons for the West.2026-10-07T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/a33b40fc18a29e94Recording: Cyber Espionage in the Age of US-China Competition2026-10-07T23:00:00+00:00A conversation with Dr Ahana Datta Fasel on her new book, Full Stack Spies: Cyber Espionage in the Age of US-China Competition.2026-10-07T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/74751c23a7e92830States Weekly: October 7, 20262026-10-07T00:00:00+00:00This edition of States Weekly covers October 7, 2026.2026-10-07T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/119df3b6a29f1643The Price of Exclusion2026-10-07T00:00:00+00:00This installment of Charting the Middle East spotlights how Western aid cuts have rendered the current international response to Syrian refugees obsolete.2026-10-07T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/23a0d469d5d0177225 Years Since the Anthrax Attacks: Where Are We Now?2026-10-07T00:00:00+00:00CSIS Global Health Policy Center moderated a discussion on how lessons learned from the 2001 anthrax attacks have been applied to the U.S. biodefense enterprise.2026-10-07T00:00:00+00:00CSIStag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/9b2b03cebfa0a96eEpisode 130: Radioactive Russian Drones - A Conversation with Vitaly Shevchenko2026-10-06T23:00:00+00:00Vitaly Shevchenko of BBC Monitoring joins Natia Seskuria to explore the implications of a radiation warning found on a downed Russian drone.2026-10-06T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/0d950fe32aa2d683The Putin Tax and the Cost of Russian Hostility to Britain2026-10-06T23:00:00+00:00Britain repeatedly uses sanctions to impose costs on Russia. But what does Russian hostility cost Britain? A new report asks a question government must answer.2026-10-06T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/4553f4cf9502f1bbEpisode 2: What Does a Return to Realpolitik Mean? With Professor John Bew2026-10-05T23:00:00+00:00What is realpolitik, and why is the world said to be returning to it? Professor John Bew CMG traces the idea back to its origins.2026-10-05T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/ce481ff55ebe9b14Recording: Germany Rearmed: The Return of War and the End of Illusions2026-10-05T23:00:00+00:00Author Liana Fix examines Germany's historic return to military power and what it means for European security as Russian aggression intensifies and confidence in US readiness to defend Europe weakens.2026-10-05T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/d1ae3daae640ed48Development Aid will be Critical to Securing Ukraine2026-10-05T23:00:00+00:00Ukraine needs weapons to win the war, but Europe will need a wider tool set to secure a peace.2026-10-05T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/8669a2d73740fb38Episode 3: From 1MDB to The China Contract2026-10-01T23:00:00+00:00Clare Rewcastle Brown on how Malaysia’s 1MDB scandal became a story of debt, infrastructure, China and geopolitical leverage.2026-10-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/1ba1c47b1dee1505Sanctions are a National Priority but Where is the Data to Prove It?2026-10-01T23:00:00+00:00The UK and the EU insist that sanctions remain atop their security agendas, but current enforcement levels provide little evidence to support that claim.2026-10-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/9b64ac6f4a5265daWhy the UK Needs a National Open-Source Intelligence Centre2026-09-30T23:00:00+00:00The UK's new information defence centre targets hostile states. A national open-source intelligence centre is needed to set standards and coordinate analysis across government.2026-09-30T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/d40bc9390861263aWhy Serbia’s Election Matters to Israel’s Arsenal2026-09-30T23:00:00+00:00Israel’s next defence headache may have little to do with Iran, Gaza or Hezbollah. It could begin in Belgrade.2026-09-30T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/77264bee70143e4cTesting Europe's Resolve: The Growing Threat Against European Energy2026-09-29T23:00:00+00:00As the Hormuz crisis strains supplies, Russia is likely to test Europe's resolve this winter, with cyberattacks on energy infrastructure the most credible threat.2026-09-29T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/2a9e618a50b2d1f4Could Stablecoins be the Future of Payments and Financial Integrity?2026-09-29T23:00:00+00:00Stablecoins are becoming important payment infrastructure, but policymakers are still trying to govern them through the financial crime frameworks built for traditional finance.2026-09-29T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/5f011f44fe9991b4Russia Has Not Avoided Mobilisation: It Has Normalised It2026-09-28T23:00:00+00:00Vladimir Putin never formally ended his 2022 partial mobilisation. The question is not whether he orders another, but how long its quieter replacement can hold.2026-09-28T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/10285c71035520fdUnder Burnham, Investment Screening Remains Hard to Predict2026-09-27T23:00:00+00:00There is uncertainty over what capabilities a sovereignty-minded government decides Britain must control.2026-09-27T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/a48418088ac56734Psychological Attrition: Mental Health as Combat Power2026-09-27T23:00:00+00:00Mental health capability is a determinant of combat power in large-scale combat operations, and armies should plan for psychological attrition.2026-09-27T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/fdeb40072dafaf8cEurope’s Diesel Vulnerability to US Export Restrictions2026-09-24T23:00:00+00:00Europe’s reliance on US energy exports was meant to insulate the continent from Russia. But it may result in new and potentially equally powerful vulnerabilities.2026-09-24T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/bbc15f8e9c91efb3RUSI Reflects: The Mecca Agreement: From US Primacy to Regional Agency?2026-09-24T23:00:00+00:00The Mecca Agreement could represent the building blocks of a new security order in the Middle East.2026-09-24T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/5e30edbebd7fc005Development Aid as Security Policy?2026-09-23T23:00:00+00:00Recent cuts to foreign aid have raised serious humanitarian concerns. They also offer vital insights into the relationship between development and security going forward.2026-09-23T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/d5c6fa00832520cfKey Takeaways from the Europe Energy Security and Dual-Use Roundtable2026-09-23T23:00:00+00:00RUSI's Energy and Security team hosted a round-table discussion on 15 June 2026 to examine Europe's dual-use items and priorities between civilian energy infrastructure and military needs during peacetime and crisis.2026-09-23T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/4e411fc6b649bc7aThe EU’s Arctic Problem is not Unanimity. It is a Missing Category2026-09-23T23:00:00+00:00The EU cannot outrun NATO in the Arctic. Its real gap is a legal category for partners like Norway, Iceland and the UK.2026-09-23T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/571cf9ccd08111b7Somali Piracy in 2026 is Not Just a Resurgence of a Past Problem2026-09-22T23:00:00+00:00Piracy off Somalia has surged in 2026. More than a ‘resurgence’ of a past problem, this reflects a rapidly evolving maritime security environment.2026-09-22T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/8fc3ba4938a8b1f5Episode 129: Updating How We Think About Korean Peninsula Security2026-09-22T23:00:00+00:00Philip Shetler-Jones is joined by Sanghun Seok and Dr Edward Howell to ask whether 'unification' and 'denuclearisation' are still the lenses through which we should view security on the Korean Peninsula.2026-09-22T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/bdddba4f44a09687Options for a NATO Multinational Drone-Interception Squadron2026-09-22T23:00:00+00:00A dedicated multinational NATO squadron of armed jet trainers could shoot down Russian drone incursions without burning through frontline fighters and scarce air-to-air missiles.2026-09-22T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/765edebf7db93d3aRecording: The Atlantic Brief: US and European Perspectives on Nuclear Deterrence2026-09-22T23:00:00+00:00The second joint webinar by RUSI and War on the Rocks: Two leading defence publications from both sides of the Atlantic present their expert panel.2026-09-22T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/52c03628bdd08ec1Putin’s Predictable Victory, Russia’s Uncertain Future2026-09-21T23:00:00+00:00Russia’s elections were a staged affair, designed to legitimise Putin’s war on Ukraine. But elections have never decided Russia’s future. The latest ballots are no exception2026-09-21T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/5fb869054eb4b7bfEpisode 1: Avoiding Strategic Surprise: Lessons from NATO with Dr Florence Gaub2026-09-21T23:00:00+00:00NATO expert Dr Florence Gaub explains how strategic foresight helps NATO anticipate and avoid strategic surprise in an uncertain world.2026-09-21T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f7430edf04e7f988The Battle for Bab Al-Mandeb is Becoming a Contest for Regional Power2026-09-20T23:00:00+00:00Houthi gains around Bab Al-Mandeb have exposed rival visions of Gulf security, as Saudi Arabia, Israel, Turkey, Pakistan and the US weigh competing responses.2026-09-20T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/404ac5ee6ddde386Recording: From Silos to Statecraft: Whole-of-Government Cyber Deterrence in Europe2026-09-20T23:00:00+00:00An expert panel discussion with practitioners from government, industry and academia on what an integrated, aligned and campaigns-based approach to cyber deterrence demands of European capitals.2026-09-20T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f481e4407a89c373Episode 2: Financing War in the Grey Zone2026-09-17T23:00:00+00:00This episode explores how conflict financing and hybrid threats expose gaps in the global anti-financial crime framework.2026-09-17T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f4b7eb8e08c98c30Responding to the Risks of Open-Weight AI Models2026-09-17T23:00:00+00:00Open-weight AI models place powerful capabilities beyond any developer’s control. The UK should clarify how its investigatory powers apply before criminal use becomes routine.2026-09-17T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/e3193eea924275ffRUSI Mission Statement and Bye-Laws2026-09-17T23:00:00+00:00Read the mission statement and bye-laws as submitted to the Council of Trustees and the Annual General Meeting on 8 October 2026.2026-09-17T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/61131ed5dcfecc13Moscow’s Other Front: Why Ukraine’s Churches Are a Security Issue2026-09-16T23:00:00+00:00A CIA director and the Vatican’s foreign minister were in Moscow in August. The spy chief drew the coverage; the Archbishop’s visit showed religion belongs in any analysis and resolution of Russia’s war.2026-09-16T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/e1281b2869f47da1A Russian Oligarch Speaks Out, But Not Against Russia's War2026-09-15T23:00:00+00:00Russian industrial magnate Melnichenko, writing in the Economist, shares an incoherent worldview and shows how Russia’s business elite rationalise the Ukraine war.2026-09-15T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/58b84c31f03d527cIllicit Finance in a Fragmenting World: Can the Global System Keep Pace?2026-09-15T23:00:00+00:00Today’s financial integrity architecture took shape in an era of multilateral cooperation. Can it still be effective in a world divided by war and geopolitical rivalry?2026-09-15T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/c63ef4e1008f2d0cBritain’s Defence Industrial Strategy Has a University-Shaped Gap2026-09-14T23:00:00+00:00The 2025 Defence Industrial Strategy casts universities as suppliers of graduates and research. To deliver it, they must become part of the machinery itself.2026-09-14T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/585f6757d15517c3‘No Good Answer’: Who Would Defend a United Ireland?2026-09-13T23:00:00+00:00Northern Ireland is NATO territory. Irish unification would remove it from the Alliance – and neither London nor Dublin has planned for the defence consequences.2026-09-13T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/c2cf527f1d4147c225 Years After 9/11: Whatever Happened to Mass-Effect Terrorism?2026-09-10T23:00:00+00:00One mystery about 9/11 is why no attack of comparable scale has followed. With new motivations, enhanced delivery and AI-devised weapons, there should be no complacency.2026-09-10T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/96e29500bfdac593How Low-Skill Russian Sabotage Drives High-Stakes Outcomes2026-09-10T23:00:00+00:00Russian reliance on amateur saboteurs enables an escalating campaign across NATO but creates a less-visible risk of unintended escalation by operational dysfunction.2026-09-10T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/3b3b5c463c7e0852Recording: Reflections, 25 Years After 9/112026-09-10T23:00:00+00:00An expert panel reflected on the profound impact the 9/11 terrorist attacks had on security and global strategy, 25 years on.2026-09-10T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/ee38c51a673481c7Leipzig Sabotage: Why Transport Underpins NATO and Russia’s Defences2026-09-09T23:00:00+00:00Germany’s attribution of the Leipzig drone attack to Russia shows why transport networks now sit at the centre of both NATO’s and Russia’s defence.2026-09-09T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f20d77ca583e5e03British–German Nuclear Cooperation: Joint Support, Not Financing2026-09-09T23:00:00+00:00Direct German funding of the UK’s nuclear deterrent would create more problems than it solves. Deeper Anglo-German cooperation on integrated deterrence offers a better path.2026-09-09T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/2e4ee27b8c4082deForce Regeneration through the Veteran ID Card and Defence Gateway2026-09-08T23:00:00+00:00A low-cost route to force regeneration: actively manage the Veterans ID card and Defence Gateway to build a dynamic, trained virtual reserve from those who have served.2026-09-08T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/87b9bc8ed7d03eeb2027 Will Test New Zealand's Defence at the Speed of Relevance2026-09-08T23:00:00+00:00New Zealand's 2025 Defence Capability Plan is a promise, not a result. A Defence Capacity Statement could keep national-security risk, readiness and delivery connected.2026-09-08T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/dd549d66999c5860Episode 128: The Future of War: How Autonomous Systems Are Reshaping Conflict2026-09-08T23:00:00+00:00General David Petraeus discusses autonomous warfare, drone technology and the military transformation driven by Ukraine.2026-09-08T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/5bef81504ce54502Recording: Award Ceremony of the 2025 Duke of Wellington Medal for Military History2026-09-08T23:00:00+00:00The Award Ceremony of the 2025 Duke of Wellington Medal for Military History, which went to Keith Lowe for his book Naples 1944: War, Liberation and Chaos .2026-09-08T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/bc89d4a2dfcdd847The Renaissance of the Dissident Republican Threat2026-09-07T23:00:00+00:00The dissident Irish republican terror group threat is changing. Counter-terrorism officials must keep pace to meet the evolving security challenge.2026-09-07T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f1c1d509f7b26311Russia’s Most Dangerous Military Adaptation Is Recovery2026-09-06T23:00:00+00:00Russia is learning how to restore command, targeting and sustainment after disruption. NATO should measure success by how long the military function stays unavailable.2026-09-06T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/4d87daecc6b71f0cEurope Started Talking Nuclear Deterrence. Still Missing: A Plan2026-09-03T23:00:00+00:00Europe's nuclear future prominently on the agenda. But talk is cheap, even of grand designs, and the debate lacks an understanding of joint responses or near-term steps.2026-09-03T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/9d665c72a0b297f3Episode 1: From Compliance to Risk Management: A View from the US Treasury2026-09-03T23:00:00+00:00This episode examines how the US Treasury thinks about financial crime, sanctions, fraud and protecting the integrity of the financial system.2026-09-03T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/81a6a826537411e2Cyber Campaigning: Mid-Tier States Can Leverage Civilian Cyber Power2026-09-02T23:00:00+00:00States lacking vast nuclear and conventional capabilities should team with the private sector via letters of marque and digital levée en masse.2026-09-02T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/7f191bb27dc716f7Unfinished Business: Effective UK Anti-Money Laundering Supervision2026-09-02T23:00:00+00:00The UK is overhauling how it oversees the legal and accountancy sectors for anti-money laundering, but making the new system work is the real test.2026-09-02T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/1a8ba63efb38d3ffReassessing Structural, Contextual Constraints in FATF Evaluations2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00In this Research Article, the author argues that FATF Mutual Evaluations underplay governance and structural constraints, leading to unrealistic expectations of AML/CFT systems.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/9958af515c8e45f4Combatting the Illicit Financing of Hybrid Threats2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00A Professional Insight in which the authors examine Russia's war in Ukraine and destabilisation of Europe to show how hybrid warfare is financed through illicit networks. They argue that the FATF and states need new typologies, metrics and controls to disrupt the funding.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/1ccc76a10b4e7738Cutting Through the Myths of Blockchain Analysis2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00In this Feature, an investigator challenges the idea that blockchain analysis is too complex. Using his own practice, he argues that simple, systematic wallet labelling can expose large-scale illicit crypto activity, and calls for analytics firms and regulators to refocus on this work rather than hype-driven tools.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/f2a9eeae4bce5f73Sanctions and the Militarisation of Ukraine's Children2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00Russia’s mass abduction and militarisation of Ukrainian children is a grave abuse. This Feature assesses how far current sanctions address the problem and argues for broader measures that target the camps, officials, businesses and banks enabling it.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/3a3f64c99bd685fbA Strong Taskforce Needs a Strong Secretariat2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00Drawing on the author’s experience as Executive Secretary, this Professional Insight argues that strengthening the secretariat is essential if the FATF is to survive growing geopolitical ruptures.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/af73bcff98e2de92Illicit Finance in a Fragmenting World2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00Guest editor Kinga Redlowska introduces the special edition of the RUSI Journal.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/710d2b82e7f9a84aRevision to FATF Recommendation 8: Impacts on Sub-Saharan Africa2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00FATF Recommendation 8 was intended to protect legitimate charities, but in practice many sub-Saharan African governments have used it to justify blanket, costly regulation of non-profit organisations. This Research Article examines how over implementation harms civic space and financial access.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/5b2884feed69d0a0The Battery Gap: Building Industrial Strength for a Military Edge2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00Going without notice until they are not there, batteries are increasingly critical to Defence, but a steady supply is far from assured.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/b27d1c23eb862e58Is the Financial Action Task Force Fit for the Future?2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00In this Research Article, the author argues that the FATF’s current enforcement model, especially greylisting, is ill suited to lower-income countries. She calls for more representative governance and a shift from sanctions towards cooperative, interaction based compliance.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/5ca9caf6f5358ca1The FATF Needs to Tackle How War is Financed2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00Conflict financing sits at the heart of many grey- and blacklisted jurisdictions, yet the FATF has never treated it as a distinct, cross cutting risk. In this Professional Insight, the author calls for a dedicated report on how wars are funded, to guide more nuanced, risk-based responses and strengthen the organisation’s credibility with conflict affected states.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/19cf62777b54aedeThe Special Relationship in an Era of Strategic Transformation2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00. . . And the Urgent Need for Sweeping Military Institutional Change. Remarks by General David H. Petraeus to the House of Lords, 1 September 2026.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/a54fd0feeed00f87Everybody Loves Our Dollars: How Money Laundering Won2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00Tom Keatinge reviews Everybody Loves Our Dollars: How Money Laundering Won, by Oliver Bullough.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/cb5694427a9cb42fDoing Business with Criminals: Between Exclusion and Surveillance2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00Georgia Jones reviews Doing Business with Criminals: Between Exclusion and Surveillance, by Anton Moiseienko.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/bac9f5498220ed4dSteal2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00Tom Keatinge reviews Steal, directed by Sam Miller and Hettie MacDonald (Amazon Studios, 2026).2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/4e7172d0247e2747Barentsburg: Caught Between Worlds2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00Photojournalist Susan Schulman travelled to the last Russian settlement on NATO territory in February 2026 to discover how the Russo-Ukrainian war has affected the Ukrainians and Russians living there.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/28871078a8340045Why FSRBs are Central to Sustaining the FATF’s Effectiveness2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00The author uses this Research Article to argue that the FATF's expanding demands risk creating 'reform overload' in lower-capacity jurisdictions. He shows how FATF Style Regional Bodies can act as stabilisers, so that effectiveness is sustained in practice rather than reduced to formal compliance.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/4c85922bd19a0168The Dual Burden of FATF Compliance for Developing Countries2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00In this Research Article, the author shows how developing countries carry a dual burden under the FATF system: costly efforts to build effective AML/CFT regimes; and the added economic fallout of greylisting when they fall short. She argues that mutual evaluations and listing should be context sensitive to avoid undermining reform in lower-capacity states.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/a67fc68c703e3ce0Proliferation Financing Risk Assessments2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00A Professional Insight which argues that FATF proliferation financing risk assessments are being applied too narrowly, overly focusing on North Korea and Iran. The author suggests broader, country-led assessments that link proliferation risks to wider threats and feed into stronger financial security.2026-09-01T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Publicationstag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/bb8ee1eb15dde84bFrom Tailored Air Group to Tailorable Maritime Aviation2026-08-31T23:00:00+00:00While the Royal Navy's Hybrid Air Wing is often discussed in terms of platforms and technology, its longer-term significance may be to expand the options available to maritime commanders.2026-08-31T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/0a9c9820f598123eSecurity Cooperation Among the Arctic NATO Allies2026-08-27T23:00:00+00:00With seven of the eight Arctic countries now in NATO, how does the security and defence cooperation between these seven look in practice?2026-08-27T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/c250457d0e7cd1b4Beyond the Hype: AI, Ransomware and Business Models2026-08-26T23:00:00+00:00AI is not (yet) fundamentally reinventing cybercrime. For bold predictions on how it will change, look to history to understand what drives criminal behaviour online.2026-08-26T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/b03ba3cf475d3236The Overstretch Facing the US Navy2026-08-25T23:00:00+00:00The US is exceeding its own plans for deployment of aircraft carriers, and the knock-on effects, and the strain, should be a cause for concern.2026-08-25T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/1d58c7452a83a583Australia’s Democratic Coordination in an Age of Foreign Interference2026-08-24T23:00:00+00:00Foreign interference threats to democratic elections are evolving at increasing speed and scale. Australia demonstrates how to build institutions capable of keeping pace.2026-08-24T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentarytag:trvny.github.io,2024:feedseek/geopolitics/69e08dda0dd2f6d3Hybrid Navy: Building the Maritime Operating System2026-08-23T23:00:00+00:00To implement the Hybrid Navy, the Royal Navy must follow the example of other successful technology transformations and build an ecosystem, not just a Fleet.2026-08-23T23:00:00+00:00RUSI Commentary